This Poll Hive 2016 Iowa polls page illustrates the voting public’s preference in this often competitive Midwestern state by presenting an average of polls (aka poll of polls). The Hawkeye State with its six electoral votes could prove pivotal in a tight race. The majority of Iowans have voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election since 1988. There was one exception. In the 2004 presidential election, George W. Bush edged out John Kerry by a rather slim 0.7%. This wasn’t the closest presidential contest in Iowa. In 2000, Al Gore edged out George W. Bush by 0.3%. Of interest is that the presidential candidate that won Iowa has went on to be President in every election since and including 1980 except for two (1988 and 2000).
This page is continuously updated as new polls are published. So feel free to refresh this page to make sure you have the latest. Also, you can see how Iowa fits with the rest of the Union with our constantly updated 2016 Presidential Election Map.
2016 Iowa Polls: Poll Hive Average
Chart 1: The first chart illustrates the Iowa Poll Hive average for Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump since August 2015.
Points of interest: The latest polls suggest that the race in Iowa is close. In fact, this race should be considered a toss-up with Trump having a slight edge.
Chart 2: The chart above simply adds some notable dates to Chart 1.
Points of interest: There just hasn’t been enough polling in Iowa to determine the impact of any notable events.
2016 Iowa Polls: Poll Hive Average Spread
Chart 3: This third chart illustrates the spread between the two front runners.
Points of interest: The latest Iowa polls suggest that Donald Trump has a slight lead with this race being a statistical dead heat.
Chart 4: This chart is the same as Chart 3 but with notable dates appended.
Points of interest: Once again, not enough data to draw any firm conclusions in regards to the impact of notable events on this race.
2016 Iowa Polls: Third Party Candidates
Chart 5: The chart above presents the race when “third party” candidates are included.
Points of interest: The latest polling suggests that Johnson and Stein will impact Hillary Clinton’s poll numbers slightly more than that of Donald Trump. Normally that wouldn’t be a concern. However, this race is very close.