This Poll Hive 2016 New Hampshire polls page illustrates the sentiment of this competitive northeastern state by presenting an average of polls (aka poll of polls). New Hampshire has leaned Democrat since 1992. There was one exception. In the 2000 presidential election, George W. Bush edged out Al Gore by a mere 1.3%. This wasn’t the only close race. In 1992, Bill Clinton edged out George H.W. Bush by 1.2% and John Kerry eked out a 1.4% win over George W. Bush in 2004. Of interest is that the presidential candidate that won New Hampshire has went on to live in the White House in every election since and including 1980 except for one (2004). While the Granite State clocks in at a mere four electoral votes, in an especially tight race it could make a difference.
This page is continuously updated as new polls are published. So feel free to refresh this page to make sure you have the latest.
2016 New Hampshire Polls: Poll Hive Average
Chart 1: The first chart illustrates the New Hampshire Poll Hive average for Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump since August 2015.
Points of interest: The polls have been fairly consistent for the entirety of this presidential election cycle with Hillary Clinton maintaining a fairly significant lead throughout.
Chart 2: The chart above simply adds some notable dates to Chart 1.
Points of interest: All the dramatic events of this campaign haven’t done all that much to move the polls in New Hampshire
2016 New Hampshire Polls: Poll Hive Average Spread
Chart 3: This third chart illustrates the spread between the two front runners.
Points of interest: The latest New Hampshire polls suggest that Hillary Clinton is in the lead and has been in the lead for the entirety of this campaign with that lead ranging from 4 to 12%.
Chart 4: This chart is the same as Chart 3 but with notable dates appended.
Points of interest: All things considered, Hillary Clinton’s lead has been fairly consistent throughout.
2016 New Hampshire Polls: Third Party Candidates
Chart 5: The chart above presents the race when “third party” candidates are included.
Points of interest: The two “third party” candidates (Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein) will likely not impact the outcome in New Hampshire.